More from @balajis
A tweetstorm from
Balaji S. Srinivasan
4 years ago — @balajis
It's amusing to watch Trump blow up (disrupt?) the political establishment. But he is no fan of technology.
The postwar Bush/Clinton consensus is being ripped in two - the land below vs the cloud above. Nationalist socialism vs global technology.
These are two separate trends - the return of nationalism and the rise of technology. Opposed to DC consensus, and to each other.
Squint a few years out to visualize the complete marginalization of today's establishment. The future is nationalists vs technologists.
A full-throated, jealous defender of borders, language, and culture. Or a rootless cosmopolitan with a laptop, bent on callow disruption.
There will be some collaboration as well. Nationalists need tech to win elections. And tech needs (some) nation states to allow innovation.
But that'll be the primary political axis worldwide. Left vs right torn apart & reassembled into the cloud vs the land.
The land will want the cloud to pay taxes and help its security forces. The cloud will want the land to open immigration and cut regulation.
The cloud has leverage because it knows tech and can move between nations. The land has leverage because it has more guns and people.
In the long run, though, the increasing mobility of the global technology cloud will discipline the land. Too much demonization, we move.
The ultimate fate of the nation state in this scenario is to become a commodity provider of land, natural resources, and rule sets.
Singapore and Estonia are far along here. Already set up to start winning as domiciles for global technology (and corresponding tax base).
We'll also see significant innovation in legislative regimes as other nations try to attract (pieces of) the global technology cloud.
You have your elections, and we have our search engines. Vote how you want, we will move where we like.
But perhaps the most interesting question is what happens if the cloud itself starts taking (buying? building?) territory. For another time.